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Premature Deindustrialization and Productivity Performance

Industrialization has long been considered the key route by which economies can sustained long-term economic growth and standard of living. Industrialization involves the move from the traditional agriculture-based economy into manufacturing-based economy. The manufacturing sector has been considered as a technologically dynamic sector which has the ability to attain greater levels of capital accumulation, economies of scale and technological progress compared with the agriculture sector. However, deindustrialization occurs when the focal of economic development shifts from the manufacturing sector to the services sector, suggesting that consumer demand has shifted away from manufacturing towards services. Deindustrialization has been considered an inevitable consequence of the progress of economic development, whereby as income per capita grows over time, the employment share of the services sector starts to grow at the expense of the manufacturing sector, since productivity gains allow the manufacturing activities to function with fewer employees.

Nevertheless, since the year 2000, Malaysia experienced premature deindustrialization as (a) Malaysia’s share of manufacturing GDP in total GDP reaches its peak at the per capita income which less than the per capita income experienced by the developed nations, and (b) the decrease in employment share less than the decrease in GDP share. In view of this situation, the Asian Productivity Organization (APO) conduct research on “Premature Deindustrialization and Productivity Performance” of several APO member countries, including Malaysia. The study hope to (a) study the risk of premature deindustrialization among APO member economies; (2) estimate the impact of deindustrialization on long-term productivity performance; and (3) generate implications for industry and productivity policies. EU-ERA and THE FUTURE has been tasked to examine the above issues in the context of Malaysia.

For details, please contact our economist:

Prof. Dr. Muzafar Shah Habibullah
Senior Economist

muzafar@putrabs.edu.my

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Selected Projects

Informal Economy and Productivity Growth

New Dynamics of Global Supply Chains and Implications for Productivity

Premature Deindustrialization and Productivity Performance

New Wage Model for Building Sustainable Business and Workforce

Penyediaan Kajian Pelan Tindakan Khusus
Sembilan 2021-2025 (RPNS 2021-2025)

Study on Measures and Strategies to Increase Labor Compensation

A study to develop an economy-wide model for refinement of medium-term labor market forecasting and evidence-based policy formulation

Jadual Input-Output Negeri & Rancangan Pembangunan Negeri Sembilan (RPNS)

Impacts and Consequences of Unemployment Insurance

State Productivity Assessment

Effects of Labor Market Conditions on Shadow Economy in Malaysia

Untapped Economically Active Labor Force to Promote Economic Growth and Productivity

The Need for Escaping the Wage Curse

Meniti Titian Hidup: Memahami Impak Badai Inflasi

Job Market Monitor: Climbing the Job Ladder among Graduates

Development of Leading Indicators of Unemployment Rates